Prediction market analysis

About Squarefade

Be the wisdom, not the crowd

Squarefade covers Kalshi’s most active prediction markets. The name is the point of view: in betting slang, a square is a casual bettor who follows the crowd, and tofade is to bet against. Squarefade reads the markets more carefully than the crowd does, not to tip trades, but to show what a price is actually saying and what would have to change for it to move.

The site works on two levels. Most markets get a reference page: live odds, the few facts that change how you read the price, curated videos and coverage, the rules, and when it resolves. A handful of markets get a feature, a longer piece with a real argument, researched and written by a person.

Who’s behind it

Squarefade is founded and written by Hunter Gebron, a content designer and strategist who writes on what prediction markets reveal about politics, sports, and the economy.

Disclosures

Squarefade uses AI to help assemble and update its reference pages. Features are written by a person and carry a byline. Nothing on the site is trading advice.

If Squarefade uses Kalshi referral links, they will be marked as sponsored, and Squarefade may earn a reward if you sign up through one. Any sponsored content will be clearly labeled as such.