Economics
Fed, inflation, jobs, and macro ladders.
September Fed decision is a coin flip between hold and a hikeFed decision in Sep 2026? RATE 50% · 2.0x
Q2 GDP: traders see Above 1.5% as likely, Above 2% as a coin flipUS GDP growth in Q2 2026? ABOVE 0.0% 100% · 1.0x
July CPI: traders lean toward a print still clearing 0%CPI in July ABOVE -0.3% 100% · 1.0x
Traders put a real minority on a July hike clearing 3.75%Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting? ABOVE 2.75% 100% · 1.0x
The Fed hold is a heavy favorite after a mid-month hike scareFed decision in July 2026?