Elections

Seats, primaries, and ballot fields.

AOC ties Newsom near 17% for the 2028 Democratic nomination
2028 Democratic presidential nomineeupdated — Sep 15
OSSOFF5.9x17%
OCASIOCORTEZ6.3x16%
$218M volume40 related markets
U.S. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York and California Governor Gavin Newsom sit even near 17% on Kalshi’s…
Elections · 2028 — August 13, 2026, 4:12pm ET
A look forward: Who can win the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election?
By Hunter Gebron
No party has held the White House more than two straight terms since the early 1950s, with one…
Elections · 2028 — Aug 10, 2026
J.D. Vance leads a crowded 2028 White House field
Who will win the next presidential election?updated — Sep 15
J.D. VANCE4.3x23%
OSSOFF8.3x12%
$66M volume30 related markets
Vice President J.D. Vance sits at the top of Kalshi’s 2028 presidential winner market at 19%, with Secretary…
Elections · 2028 — August 8, 2026, 10:30pm ET
Karen Bass is favored to keep the Los Angeles mayor’s office, with Nithya Raman still close behind
Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?settled — August 8, 2026, 10:30pm ET
AALN100%
ABEU100%
$89M volume10 related markets
Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass and City Councilmember Nithya Raman are the two candidates left for the November…
Elections · Mayor — August 8, 2026, 10:30pm ET
Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?settled — Aug 12, 2026, 11:14am ET
GRAHAM74%
NORMAN27%
$7.1M volume11 related markets
Kalshi has Darline Graham near 76% (Ralph Norman 25%) on South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?.
Elections · Primaries — Aug 12, 2026, 11:14am ET
Donalds is Florida’s clear favorite for the GOP nomination
Florida Republican Governor nominee?settled — July 22, 2026, 6:44pm ET
DONALDS100%
$70M volume9 related markets
The 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is still on the calendar, and traders treat U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds…
Elections · Governor — July 22, 2026, 6:44pm ET
Democrats are slight favorites to hold more governorships after 2026
Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?updated — Sep 14
DEMOCRATIC PAR…1.6x62%
REPUBLICAN PAR…3.7x27%
$226K volume3 related markets
Favorite and runner-up are closer than a clean two-party story: Democrats lead Republicans to hold more governorships after…
Elections · Governor — July 22, 2026, 6:44pm ET
Vance leads Rubio for the 2028 Republican nomination
2028 Republican presidential nomineeupdated — Sep 15
J.D. VANCE2.2x46%
RUBIO4.8x21%
$64M volume38 related markets
Favorite and runner-up are closer than the headline suggests: Vice President J.D. Vance leads Secretary of State Marco…
Elections · 2028 — July 22, 2026, 6:42pm ET
Democrats are heavy favorites to win the House in 2026
Which party will win the U.S. House?updated — Sep 13
DEMOCRATIC PAR…1.2x86%
REPUBLICAN PAR…6.7x15%
$30M volume2 related markets
An 83% chance Democrats win the U.S. House in 2026 still leaves Republicans a thin path on a…
Elections · House — July 22, 2026, 6:42pm ET
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?updated — Sep 15
DEMOCRATIC PAR…1.9x53%
REPUBLICAN PAR…2.0x49%
$8.6M volume2 related markets
Kalshi has Democratic Party near 50% (Republican Party 50%) on Which party will win the U.S.
Elections · Senate — Aug 12, 2026, 11:14am ET
North Carolina Senate winner?
Will Democrats win the Senate race in North Carolina?updated — Sep 15
COOPER1.1x92.2%
WHATLEY11.5x8.7%
$2M volume2 related markets
Kalshi has Roy Cooper near 91.4% (Michael Whatley 8.4%) on North Carolina Senate winner?.
Elections · Senate — Aug 12, 2026, 11:14am ET