Prediction market analysis
Be the wisdom, not the crowd
Trump, Congress, courts, and policy desks.
Kalshi prices Gadi Eisenkot near 66% to be the first new Israeli prime minister after this market’s start…
Karoline Leavitt is set to leave the White House press secretary job at the end of August, and…
Citigroup’s CEO is telling lawmakers she wants a workable Clarity Act to pass. On Kalshi, “pass next year…
The Strait of Hormuz is still running far below the traffic threshold this market uses for “normal.” Traders…
Kalshi has No near 94.9% (Yes 5.1%) on Will the SAVE Act become law?.