Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Cleveland vs Detroit Winner?

Cleveland vs Detroit Winner?settled — Aug 13, 2026, 3:17pm ETOpen on Kalshi
DETROIT100%
$3.9M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Detroit near 95% (Cleveland 6%) on Cleveland vs Detroit. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $3.9M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Detroit near 95% returns about $105 if they win (before fees); Cleveland near 6% returns about $1667.

Keider Montero is listed for Detroit; Parker Messick for Cleveland. On the season they sit 60-61 and 59-63. Over the last 5 games, Detroit went 3-2 and Cleveland went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Parker Messick for Cleveland; Keider Montero for Detroit.
  2. Season record Cleveland 59-63; Detroit 60-61.
  3. Last five games Cleveland went 2-3 in their last 5; Detroit went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.