Kalshi prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner?

Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner?updated — Aug 13Open on Kalshi
LAD1.7x58%
MILWAUKEE2.3x43%
$635K volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Los Angeles D near 58% (Milwaukee 43%) on Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D. That is a solid edge, not a toss-up. About $635K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Los Angeles D near 58% returns about $172 if they win (before fees); Milwaukee near 43% returns about $233.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is listed for Los Angeles D; Robert Gasser for Milwaukee. On the season they sit 73-48 and 74-47. Over the last 5 games, Los Angeles D went 4-1 and Milwaukee went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Robert Gasser for Milwaukee; Yoshinobu Yamamoto for Los Angeles D.
  2. Season record Milwaukee 74-47; Los Angeles D 73-48.
  3. Last five games Milwaukee went 2-3 in their last 5; Los Angeles D went 4-1.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.