Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Miami vs Cincinnati Winner?

Miami vs Cincinnati Winner?settled — Aug 14, 2026, 7:34pm ETOpen on Kalshi
CINCINNATI100%
$2.7M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Cincinnati near 58% (Miami 43%) on Miami vs Cincinnati. That is a solid edge, not a toss-up. About $2.7M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Cincinnati near 58% returns about $172 if they win (before fees); Miami near 43% returns about $233.

Chase Burns is listed for Cincinnati; Sandy Alcantara for Miami. On the season they sit 58-62 and 62-60. Over the last 5 games, Cincinnati went 2-3 and Miami went 4-1.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Sandy Alcantara for Miami; Chase Burns for Cincinnati.
  2. Season record Miami 62-60; Cincinnati 58-62.
  3. Last five games Miami went 4-1 in their last 5; Cincinnati went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 6:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.