Kalshi prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Boston vs Pittsburgh Winner?

Boston vs Pittsburgh Winner?updated — Aug 14Open on Kalshi
BOSTON1.9x54%
PITTSBURGH2.1x48%
$163K volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Boston near 54% (Pittsburgh 47%) on Boston vs Pittsburgh. That is a lean, not a lock. About $125K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Boston near 54% returns about $185 if they win (before fees); Pittsburgh near 47% returns about $213.

Jake Bennett is listed for Boston; Bubba Chandler for Pittsburgh. On the season they sit 65-56 and 59-64. Over the last 5 games, Boston went 1-4 and Pittsburgh went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Jake Bennett for Boston; Bubba Chandler for Pittsburgh.
  2. Season record Boston 65-56; Pittsburgh 59-64.
  3. Last five games Boston went 1-4 in their last 5; Pittsburgh went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.