Kalshi prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Chicago WS vs Detroit Winner?

Chicago WS vs Detroit Winner?updated — Aug 14Open on Kalshi
DETROIT1.8x56%
WS2.2x45%
$295K volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Detroit near 56% (Chicago WS 45%) on Chicago WS vs Detroit. That is a solid edge, not a toss-up. About $279K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Detroit near 56% returns about $179 if they win (before fees); Chicago WS near 45% returns about $222.

Jackson Jobe is listed for Detroit; Sean Newcomb for Chicago WS. On the season they sit 60-61 and 62-58. Over the last 5 games, Detroit went 4-1 and Chicago WS went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Sean Newcomb for Chicago WS; Jackson Jobe for Detroit.
  2. Season record Chicago WS 62-58; Detroit 60-61.
  3. Last five games Chicago WS went 3-2 in their last 5; Detroit went 4-1.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.