Prediction market analysis

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Chicago WS vs Detroit Winner?

Chicago WS vs Detroit Winner?settled — Aug 15, 2026, 2:46pm ETOpen on Kalshi
WS100%
$3.5M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Detroit near 57% (Chicago WS 44%) on Chicago WS vs Detroit. That is a solid edge, not a toss-up. About $237K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Detroit near 57% returns about $175 if they win (before fees); Chicago WS near 44% returns about $227.

Troy Melton is listed for Detroit; Anthony Kay for Chicago WS. On the season they sit 60-62 and 63-58. Over the last 5 games, Detroit went 3-2 and Chicago WS went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Anthony Kay for Chicago WS; Troy Melton for Detroit.
  2. Season record Chicago WS 63-58; Detroit 60-62.
  3. Last five games Chicago WS went 3-2 in their last 5; Detroit went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.