Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Boston vs Pittsburgh Winner?

Boston vs Pittsburgh Winner?settled — Aug 15, 2026, 7:33pm ETOpen on Kalshi
BOSTON100%
$2M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Boston near 53% (Pittsburgh 48%) on Boston vs Pittsburgh. That is a lean, not a lock. About $1.1M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Boston near 53% returns about $189 if they win (before fees); Pittsburgh near 48% returns about $208.

Sonny Gray is listed for Boston; Jared Jones for Pittsburgh. On the season they sit 65-57 and 60-64. Over the last 5 games, Boston went 1-4 and Pittsburgh went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Sonny Gray for Boston; Jared Jones for Pittsburgh.
  2. Season record Boston 65-57; Pittsburgh 60-64.
  3. Last five games Boston went 1-4 in their last 5; Pittsburgh went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.