Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Boston vs Pittsburgh Winner?

Boston vs Pittsburgh Winner?settled — Aug 16, 2026, 2:45pm ETOpen on Kalshi
PITTSBURGH100%
$3.8M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Pittsburgh near 97% (Boston 4%) on Boston vs Pittsburgh. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $2.4M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Pittsburgh near 97% returns about $103 if they win (before fees); Boston near 4% returns about $2500.

Lake Bachar is listed for Pittsburgh; Patrick Sandoval for Boston. On the season they sit 60-65 and 66-57. Over the last 5 games, Pittsburgh went 2-3 and Boston went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Patrick Sandoval for Boston; Lake Bachar for Pittsburgh.
  2. Season record Boston 66-57; Pittsburgh 60-65.
  3. Last five games Boston went 2-3 in their last 5; Pittsburgh went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.