Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Seattle vs Houston Winner?

Seattle vs Houston Winner?settled — Aug 16, 2026, 7:33pm ETOpen on Kalshi
SEATTLE100%
$8.1M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Seattle near 59% (Houston 42%) on Seattle vs Houston. That is a solid edge, not a toss-up. About $3.6M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Seattle near 59% returns about $169 if they win (before fees); Houston near 42% returns about $238.

Bryan Woo is listed for Seattle; Hunter Brown for Houston. On the season they sit 58-66 and 63-61. Over the last 5 games, Seattle went 2-3 and Houston went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Bryan Woo for Seattle; Hunter Brown for Houston.
  2. Season record Seattle 58-66; Houston 63-61.
  3. Last five games Seattle went 2-3 in their last 5; Houston went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 at 7:20 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.