Prediction market analysis

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Chicago WS vs Chicago C Winner?

Chicago WS vs Chicago C Winner?settled — Aug 17, 2026, 10:41am ETOpen on Kalshi
CHC100%
$4.4M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Chicago C near 61% (Chicago WS 41%) on Chicago WS vs Chicago C. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $124K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Chicago C near 61% returns about $164 if they win (before fees); Chicago WS near 41% returns about $244.

Shota Imanaga is listed for Chicago C; Luis Castillo for Chicago WS. On the season they sit 72-53 and 65-58. Over the last 5 games, Chicago C went 2-3 and Chicago WS went 4-1.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Luis Castillo for Chicago WS; Shota Imanaga for Chicago C.
  2. Season record Chicago WS 65-58; Chicago C 72-53.
  3. Last five games Chicago WS went 4-1 in their last 5; Chicago C went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 17, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.