Prediction market analysis

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New York Y vs Baltimore Winner?

New York Y vs Baltimore Winner?settled — Aug 18, 2026, 7:33pm ETOpen on Kalshi
NYY100%
$1.6M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has New York Y near 52% (Baltimore 50%) on New York Y vs Baltimore. That is essentially a coin flip. About $152K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on New York Y near 52% returns about $192 if they win (before fees); Baltimore near 50% returns about $200.

Carlos Rodón is listed for New York Y; Shane Baz for Baltimore. On the season they sit 69-55 and 61-64. Over the last 5 games, New York Y went 2-3 and Baltimore went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Carlos Rodón for New York Y; Shane Baz for Baltimore.
  2. Season record New York Y 69-55; Baltimore 61-64.
  3. Last five games New York Y went 2-3 in their last 5; Baltimore went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 18, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.