Prediction market analysis

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Chicago WS vs Chicago C Winner?

Chicago WS vs Chicago C Winner?settled — Aug 19, 2026, 2:51pm ETOpen on Kalshi
WS100%
$4.9M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Chicago C near 57% (Chicago WS 44%) on Chicago WS vs Chicago C. That is a solid edge, not a toss-up. About $1.8M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Chicago C near 57% returns about $175 if they win (before fees); Chicago WS near 44% returns about $227.

Clay Holmes is listed for Chicago C; Sean Newcomb for Chicago WS. On the season they sit 74-53 and 65-60. Over the last 5 games, Chicago C went 3-2 and Chicago WS went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Sean Newcomb for Chicago WS; Clay Holmes for Chicago C.
  2. Season record Chicago WS 65-60; Chicago C 74-53.
  3. Last five games Chicago WS went 3-2 in their last 5; Chicago C went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.