Sports · Baseball

Miami vs Philadelphia Winner?

Analysis

Kalshi has Philadelphia near 77% (Miami 24%) on Miami vs Philadelphia. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $1.8M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Philadelphia near 77% returns about $130 if they win (before fees); Miami near 24% returns about $417.

Aaron Nola is listed for Philadelphia; Sandy Alcantara for Miami. On the season they sit 69-58 and 64-63. Over the last 5 games, Philadelphia went 5-0 and Miami went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Sandy Alcantara for Miami; Aaron Nola for Philadelphia.
  2. Season record Miami 64-63; Philadelphia 69-58.
  3. Last five games Miami went 2-3 in their last 5; Philadelphia went 5-0.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 6:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.