Prediction market analysis

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New York Y vs Baltimore Winner?

New York Y vs Baltimore Winner?settled — Aug 19, 2026, 7:34pm ETOpen on Kalshi
NYY100%
$3.9M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has New York Y near 71% (Baltimore 29%) on New York Y vs Baltimore. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $1.3M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on New York Y near 71% returns about $141 if they win (before fees); Baltimore near 29% returns about $345.

Will Warren is listed for New York Y; Chris Bassitt for Baltimore. On the season they sit 70-55 and 61-65. Over the last 5 games, New York Y went 2-3 and Baltimore went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Will Warren for New York Y; Chris Bassitt for Baltimore.
  2. Season record New York Y 70-55; Baltimore 61-65.
  3. Last five games New York Y went 2-3 in their last 5; Baltimore went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.