Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

St. Louis vs Cincinnati Winner?

St. Louis vs Cincinnati Winner?settled — Aug 20, 2026, 2:56pm ETOpen on Kalshi
LOUIS100%
$6.6M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Cincinnati near 88% (St. Louis 13%) on St. Louis vs Cincinnati. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $3.6M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Cincinnati near 88% returns about $114 if they win (before fees); St. Louis near 13% returns about $769.

Brady Singer is listed for Cincinnati; Michael McGreevy for St. Louis. On the season they sit 61-66 and 65-63. Over the last 5 games, Cincinnati went 2-3 and St. Louis went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Michael McGreevy for St. Louis; Brady Singer for Cincinnati.
  2. Season record St. Louis 65-63; Cincinnati 61-66.
  3. Last five games St. Louis went 3-2 in their last 5; Cincinnati went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 12:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.