Prediction market analysis

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New York Y vs Baltimore Winner?

New York Y vs Baltimore Winner?settled — Aug 20, 2026, 7:37pm ETOpen on Kalshi
NYY100%
$6.9M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has New York Y near 55% (Baltimore 46%) on New York Y vs Baltimore. That is a lean, not a lock. About $3.7M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on New York Y near 55% returns about $182 if they win (before fees); Baltimore near 46% returns about $217.

Gerrit Cole is listed for New York Y; Kyle Bradish for Baltimore. On the season they sit 71-55 and 61-66. Over the last 5 games, New York Y went 3-2 and Baltimore went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Gerrit Cole for New York Y; Kyle Bradish for Baltimore.
  2. Season record New York Y 71-55; Baltimore 61-66.
  3. Last five games New York Y went 3-2 in their last 5; Baltimore went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.