Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Atlanta vs Milwaukee Winner?

Atlanta vs Milwaukee Winner?settled — Aug 21, 2026, 2:53pm ETOpen on Kalshi
MILWAUKEE100%
$6.5M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Milwaukee near 57% (Atlanta 44%) on Atlanta vs Milwaukee. That is a solid edge, not a toss-up. About $295K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Milwaukee near 57% returns about $175 if they win (before fees); Atlanta near 44% returns about $227.

Jacob Misiorowski is listed for Milwaukee; Chris Sale for Atlanta. On the season they sit 79-49 and 75-53. Over the last 5 games, Milwaukee went 4-1 and Atlanta went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Chris Sale for Atlanta; Jacob Misiorowski for Milwaukee.
  2. Season record Atlanta 75-53; Milwaukee 79-49.
  3. Last five games Atlanta went 2-3 in their last 5; Milwaukee went 4-1.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.