Prediction market analysis

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New York M vs Chicago WS Winner?

New York M vs Chicago WS Winner?settled — Aug 21, 2026, 7:35pm ETOpen on Kalshi
WS100%
$1.8M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Chicago WS near 55% (New York M 46%) on New York M vs Chicago WS. That is a lean, not a lock. About $1.2M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Chicago WS near 55% returns about $182 if they win (before fees); New York M near 46% returns about $217.

Sean Burke is listed for Chicago WS; Sean Manaea for New York M. On the season they sit 66-61 and 58-70. Over the last 5 games, Chicago WS went 2-3 and New York M went 4-1.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Sean Manaea for New York M; Sean Burke for Chicago WS.
  2. Season record New York M 58-70; Chicago WS 66-61.
  3. Last five games New York M went 4-1 in their last 5; Chicago WS went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.