Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

St. Louis vs Philadelphia

St. Louis vs Philadelphiasettled — Aug 22, 2026, 7:33pm ETOpen on Kalshi
PHILADELPHIA100%
$2.5M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Philadelphia near 99% (St. Louis 2%) on St. Louis vs Philadelphia. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $2.5M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Philadelphia near 99% returns about $101 if they win (before fees); St. Louis near 2% returns about $5000.

Andrew Painter is listed for Philadelphia; Quinn Mathews for St. Louis. On the season they sit 71-58 and 66-64. Over the last 5 games, Philadelphia went 5-0 and St. Louis went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Quinn Mathews for St. Louis; Andrew Painter for Philadelphia.
  2. Season record St. Louis 66-64; Philadelphia 71-58.
  3. Last five games St. Louis went 2-3 in their last 5; Philadelphia went 5-0.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 6:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.