Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

St. Louis vs Philadelphia

St. Louis vs Philadelphiasettled — Aug 23, 2026, 2:46pm ETOpen on Kalshi
PHILADELPHIA100%
$1.9M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has St. Louis near 78% (Philadelphia 22%) on St. Louis vs Philadelphia. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $1.4M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on St. Louis near 78% returns about $128 if they win (before fees); Philadelphia near 22% returns about $455.

Kyle Leahy is listed for St. Louis; Cristopher Sánchez for Philadelphia. On the season they sit 66-65 and 72-58. Over the last 5 games, St. Louis went 2-3 and Philadelphia went 5-0.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Kyle Leahy for St. Louis; Cristopher Sánchez for Philadelphia.
  2. Season record St. Louis 66-65; Philadelphia 72-58.
  3. Last five games St. Louis went 2-3 in their last 5; Philadelphia went 5-0.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.