Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Toronto vs New York Y

Toronto vs New York Ysettled — Aug 23, 2026, 2:46pm ETOpen on Kalshi
NYY100%
$3.4M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has New York Y near 51% (Toronto 50%) on Toronto vs New York Y. That is essentially a coin flip. About $1.5M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on New York Y near 51% returns about $196 if they win (before fees); Toronto near 50% returns about $200.

Carlos Rodón is listed for New York Y; José Soriano for Toronto. On the season they sit 73-56 and 64-67. Over the last 5 games, New York Y went 4-1 and Toronto went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers José Soriano for Toronto; Carlos Rodón for New York Y.
  2. Season record Toronto 64-67; New York Y 73-56.
  3. Last five games Toronto went 3-2 in their last 5; New York Y went 4-1.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.