Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Boston vs Miami

Boston vs Miamisettled — Aug 24, 2026, 7:33pm ETOpen on Kalshi
BOSTON100%
$7.1M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Miami near 60% (Boston 41%) on Boston vs Miami. That is a solid edge, not a toss-up. About $2.3M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Miami near 60% returns about $167 if they win (before fees); Boston near 41% returns about $244.

Sandy Alcantara is listed for Miami; Ranger Suarez for Boston. On the season they sit 67-64 and 71-59. Over the last 5 games, Miami went 3-2 and Boston went 4-1.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Ranger Suarez for Boston; Sandy Alcantara for Miami.
  2. Season record Boston 71-59; Miami 67-64.
  3. Last five games Boston went 4-1 in their last 5; Miami went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 24, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.