Prediction market analysis

Squarefade

Be the wisdom, not the crowd

Sports · Baseball

Philadelphia vs Seattle

Philadelphia vs Seattlesettled — Aug 24, 2026, 2:57pm ETOpen on Kalshi
SEATTLE100%
$5.4M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Philadelphia near 53% (Seattle 48%) on Philadelphia vs Seattle. That is a lean, not a lock. About $124K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Philadelphia near 53% returns about $189 if they win (before fees); Seattle near 48% returns about $208.

Aaron Nola is listed for Philadelphia; George Kirby for Seattle. On the season they sit 73-58 and 62-69. Over the last 5 games, Philadelphia went 5-0 and Seattle went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Aaron Nola for Philadelphia; George Kirby for Seattle.
  2. Season record Philadelphia 73-58; Seattle 62-69.
  3. Last five games Philadelphia went 5-0 in their last 5; Seattle went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 24, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.