Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Boston vs Miami

Boston vs Miamisettled — Aug 25, 2026, 7:35pm ETOpen on Kalshi
BOSTON100%
$4.9M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Boston near 67% (Miami 34%) on Boston vs Miami. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $1.4M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Boston near 67% returns about $149 if they win (before fees); Miami near 34% returns about $294.

Payton Tolle is listed for Boston; Tyler Phillips for Miami. On the season they sit 72-59 and 67-65. Over the last 5 games, Boston went 4-1 and Miami went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Payton Tolle for Boston; Tyler Phillips for Miami.
  2. Season record Boston 72-59; Miami 67-65.
  3. Last five games Boston went 4-1 in their last 5; Miami went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.