Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Houston vs New York Y

Houston vs New York Ysettled — Aug 25, 2026, 7:35pm ETOpen on Kalshi
HOUSTON100%
$2.6M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Houston near 51% (New York Y 50%) on Houston vs New York Y. That is essentially a coin flip. About $1.2M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Houston near 51% returns about $196 if they win (before fees); New York Y near 50% returns about $200.

Ethan Pecko is listed for Houston; Will Warren for New York Y. On the season they sit 65-66 and 74-56. Over the last 5 games, Houston went 2-3 and New York Y went 4-1.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Ethan Pecko for Houston; Will Warren for New York Y.
  2. Season record Houston 65-66; New York Y 74-56.
  3. Last five games Houston went 2-3 in their last 5; New York Y went 4-1.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.