Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Baltimore vs St. Louis

Baltimore vs St. Louissettled — Aug 27, 2026, 12:30am ETOpen on Kalshi
LOUIS100%
$402K volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Baltimore near 53% (St. Louis 49%) on Baltimore vs St. Louis. That is essentially a coin flip. About $88K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Baltimore near 53% returns about $189 if they win (before fees); St. Louis near 49% returns about $204.

Trevor Rogers is listed to start for Baltimore. On the season they sit 65-68 and 66-68. Over the last 5 games, Baltimore went 4-1 and St. Louis went 0-5.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Trevor Rogers for Baltimore; TBD for St. Louis.
  2. Season record Baltimore 65-68; St. Louis 66-68.
  3. Last five games Baltimore went 4-1 in their last 5; St. Louis went 0-5.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 27, 2026 at 2:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.