Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Miami vs Washington

Miami vs Washingtonsettled — Aug 28, 2026, 7:32pm ETOpen on Kalshi
WASHINGTON100%
$1.5M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Miami near 53% (Washington 47%) on Miami vs Washington. That is a lean, not a lock. About $935K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Miami near 53% returns about $189 if they win (before fees); Washington near 47% returns about $213.

Eury Pérez is listed for Miami; Jackson Kent for Washington. On the season they sit 68-66 and 63-73. Over the last 5 games, Miami went 3-2 and Washington went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Eury Pérez for Miami; Jackson Kent for Washington.
  2. Season record Miami 68-66; Washington 63-73.
  3. Last five games Miami went 3-2 in their last 5; Washington went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.