Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Chicago WS vs Minnesota

Chicago WS vs Minnesotasettled — Aug 29, 2026, 1:43pm ETOpen on Kalshi
WS100%
$695K volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Minnesota near 51% (Chicago WS 50%) on Chicago WS vs Minnesota. That is essentially a coin flip. About $235K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Minnesota near 51% returns about $196 if they win (before fees); Chicago WS near 50% returns about $200.

Bailey Ober is listed for Minnesota; Erick Fedde for Chicago WS. On the season they sit 64-71 and 71-63. Over the last 5 games, Minnesota went 1-4 and Chicago WS went 4-1.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Erick Fedde for Chicago WS; Bailey Ober for Minnesota.
  2. Season record Chicago WS 71-63; Minnesota 64-71.
  3. Last five games Chicago WS went 4-1 in their last 5; Minnesota went 1-4.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.