Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Cincinnati vs Chicago C

Cincinnati vs Chicago Csettled — Aug 29, 2026, 4:53pm ETOpen on Kalshi
CHC100%
$1.5M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Chicago C near 100% (Cincinnati 1%) on Cincinnati vs Chicago C. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $1.5M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Chicago C near 100% returns about $100 if they win (before fees); Cincinnati near 1% returns about $10000.

Kevin Gausman is listed for Chicago C; Andrew Abbott for Cincinnati. On the season they sit 76-59 and 64-71. Over the last 5 games, Chicago C went 2-3 and Cincinnati went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Andrew Abbott for Cincinnati; Kevin Gausman for Chicago C.
  2. Season record Cincinnati 64-71; Chicago C 76-59.
  3. Last five games Cincinnati went 2-3 in their last 5; Chicago C went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.