Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Miami vs Washington

Miami vs Washingtonsettled — Aug 30, 2026, 2:03pm ETOpen on Kalshi
MIAMI100%
$2M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Washington near 73% (Miami 28%) on Miami vs Washington. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $2.0M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Washington near 73% returns about $137 if they win (before fees); Miami near 28% returns about $357.

Andrew Alvarez is listed for Washington; Janson Junk for Miami. On the season they sit 65-73 and 68-68. Over the last 5 games, Washington went 3-2 and Miami went 1-4.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Janson Junk for Miami; Andrew Alvarez for Washington.
  2. Season record Miami 68-68; Washington 65-73.
  3. Last five games Miami went 1-4 in their last 5; Washington went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 12:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.