Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Boston vs New York Y

Boston vs New York Ysettled — Aug 30, 2026, 2:03pm ETOpen on Kalshi
NYY100%
$2.2M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Boston near 55% (New York Y 46%) on Boston vs New York Y. That is a lean, not a lock. About $2.2M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Boston near 55% returns about $182 if they win (before fees); New York Y near 46% returns about $217.

Ranger Suarez is listed for Boston; Will Warren for New York Y. On the season they sit 74-62 and 77-59. Over the last 5 games, Boston went 2-3 and New York Y went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Ranger Suarez for Boston; Will Warren for New York Y.
  2. Season record Boston 74-62; New York Y 77-59.
  3. Last five games Boston went 2-3 in their last 5; New York Y went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.