Prediction market analysis

Squarefade

Be the wisdom, not the crowd

Sports · Baseball

Texas vs Milwaukee

Texas vs Milwaukeesettled — Aug 30, 2026, 5:01pm ETOpen on Kalshi
TEXAS100%
$2M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Texas near 97% (Milwaukee 4%) on Texas vs Milwaukee. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $2.0M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Texas near 97% returns about $103 if they win (before fees); Milwaukee near 4% returns about $2500.

Kumar Rocker is listed for Texas; Dustin May for Milwaukee. On the season they sit 66-70 and 85-51. Over the last 5 games, Texas went 1-4 and Milwaukee went 4-1.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Kumar Rocker for Texas; Dustin May for Milwaukee.
  2. Season record Texas 66-70; Milwaukee 85-51.
  3. Last five games Texas went 1-4 in their last 5; Milwaukee went 4-1.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.