Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Houston vs New York M

Houston vs New York Msettled — Aug 30, 2026, 5:01pm ETOpen on Kalshi
HOUSTON100%
$1.4M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Houston near 67% (New York M 33%) on Houston vs New York M. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $1.4M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Houston near 67% returns about $149 if they win (before fees); New York M near 33% returns about $303.

Ethan Pecko is listed for Houston; Zac Thornton for New York M. On the season they sit 68-68 and 61-75. Over the last 5 games, Houston went 3-2 and New York M went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Ethan Pecko for Houston; Zac Thornton for New York M.
  2. Season record Houston 68-68; New York M 61-75.
  3. Last five games Houston went 3-2 in their last 5; New York M went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 3:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.