Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Chicago WS vs Houston

Chicago WS vs Houstonsettled — Aug 31, 2026, 9:48pm ETOpen on Kalshi
HOUSTON100%
$4M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Houston near 77% (Chicago WS 24%) on Chicago WS vs Houston. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $4.0M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Houston near 77% returns about $130 if they win (before fees); Chicago WS near 24% returns about $417.

Peter Lambert is listed for Houston; Anthony Kay for Chicago WS. On the season they sit 69-68 and 72-64. Over the last 5 games, Houston went 3-2 and Chicago WS went 4-1.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Anthony Kay for Chicago WS; Peter Lambert for Houston.
  2. Season record Chicago WS 72-64; Houston 69-68.
  3. Last five games Chicago WS went 4-1 in their last 5; Houston went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.