Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Game 3: Philadelphia vs Atlanta

Game 3: Philadelphia vs Atlantasettled — Oct 1, 2026, 10:12pm ETOpen on Kalshi
ATLANTA100%
$13M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Atlanta near 96% (Philadelphia 5%) on Game 3: Philadelphia vs Atlanta. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $12.9M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Atlanta near 96% returns about $104 if they win (before fees); Philadelphia near 5% returns about $2000.

Ray Kerr is listed for Atlanta; Aaron Nola for Philadelphia. On the season they sit 1-1 and 1-1. Over the last 5 games, Atlanta went 2-3 and Philadelphia went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Aaron Nola for Philadelphia; Ray Kerr for Atlanta.
  2. Season record Philadelphia 1-1; Atlanta 1-1.
  3. Last five games Philadelphia went 2-3 in their last 5; Atlanta went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Oct 1, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.