Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Game 2: Chicago WS vs Cleveland

Game 2: Chicago WS vs Clevelandsettled — Oct 5, 2026, 5:28pm ETOpen on Kalshi
WS100%
$4.8M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Cleveland near 83% (Chicago WS 18%) on Game 2: Chicago WS vs Cleveland. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $4.8M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Cleveland near 83% returns about $120 if they win (before fees); Chicago WS near 18% returns about $556.

Gavin Williams is listed for Cleveland; Anthony Kay for Chicago WS. On the season they sit 0-1 and 1-0. Over the last 5 games, Cleveland went 3-2 and Chicago WS went 4-1.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Anthony Kay for Chicago WS; Gavin Williams for Cleveland.
  2. Season record Chicago WS 1-0; Cleveland 0-1.
  3. Last five games Chicago WS went 4-1 in their last 5; Cleveland went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.