Prediction market analysis

Squarefade

Be the wisdom, not the crowd

Sports · Baseball

Game 3: Los Angeles D vs Atlanta

Game 3: Los Angeles D vs Atlantasettled — Oct 6, 2026, 3:30pm ETOpen on Kalshi
LAD100%
$16M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Los Angeles D near 51% (Atlanta 50%) on Game 3: Los Angeles D vs Atlanta. That is essentially a coin flip. About $154K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Los Angeles D near 51% returns about $196 if they win (before fees); Atlanta near 50% returns about $200.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is listed for Los Angeles D; Chris Sale for Atlanta. On the season they sit 1-1 and 1-1. Over the last 5 games, Los Angeles D went 4-1 and Atlanta went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Yoshinobu Yamamoto for Los Angeles D; Chris Sale for Atlanta.
  2. Season record Los Angeles D 1-1; Atlanta 1-1.
  3. Last five games Los Angeles D went 4-1 in their last 5; Atlanta went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Oct 6, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.