Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Game 3: Cleveland vs Chicago WS

Game 3: Cleveland vs Chicago WSsettled — Oct 7, 2026, 3:57pm ETOpen on Kalshi
CLEVELAND100%
$7M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Chicago WS near 54% (Cleveland 47%) on Game 3: Cleveland vs Chicago WS. That is a lean, not a lock. About $4.6M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Chicago WS near 54% returns about $185 if they win (before fees); Cleveland near 47% returns about $213.

Sean Newcomb is listed for Chicago WS; Daniel Espino for Cleveland. On the season they sit 2-0 and 0-2. Over the last 5 games, Chicago WS went 5-0 and Cleveland went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Daniel Espino for Cleveland; Sean Newcomb for Chicago WS.
  2. Season record Cleveland 0-2; Chicago WS 2-0.
  3. Last five games Cleveland went 2-3 in their last 5; Chicago WS went 5-0.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Oct 7, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.