Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Game 4: Los Angeles D vs Atlanta

Game 4: Los Angeles D vs Atlantasettled — Oct 7, 2026, 3:57pm ETOpen on Kalshi
LAD100%
$13M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Los Angeles D near 58% (Atlanta 43%) on Game 4: Los Angeles D vs Atlanta. That is a solid edge, not a toss-up. About $1.1M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Los Angeles D near 58% returns about $172 if they win (before fees); Atlanta near 43% returns about $233.

Tyler Glasnow is listed for Los Angeles D; Tyler Mahle for Atlanta. On the season they sit 2-1 and 1-2. Over the last 5 games, Los Angeles D went 4-1 and Atlanta went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Tyler Glasnow for Los Angeles D; Tyler Mahle for Atlanta.
  2. Season record Los Angeles D 2-1; Atlanta 1-2.
  3. Last five games Los Angeles D went 4-1 in their last 5; Atlanta went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Oct 7, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.