Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Game 5: Chicago WS vs Cleveland

Game 5: Chicago WS vs Clevelandsettled — Oct 10, 2026, 9:50pm ETOpen on Kalshi
CLEVELAND100%
$6.9M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Cleveland near 88% (Chicago WS 13%) on Game 5: Chicago WS vs Cleveland. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $6.9M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Cleveland near 88% returns about $114 if they win (before fees); Chicago WS near 13% returns about $769.

Gavin Williams is listed for Cleveland; Sean Burke for Chicago WS. On the season they sit 2-2 and 2-2. Over the last 5 games, Cleveland went 2-3 and Chicago WS went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Sean Burke for Chicago WS; Gavin Williams for Cleveland.
  2. Season record Chicago WS 2-2; Cleveland 2-2.
  3. Last five games Chicago WS went 3-2 in their last 5; Cleveland went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.