Prediction market analysis

Squarefade

Be the wisdom, not the crowd

Sports · Baseball

Game 1: Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee

Game 1: Los Angeles D vs Milwaukeesettled — Oct 11, 2026, 10:21pm ETOpen on Kalshi
MILWAUKEE100%
$13M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Milwaukee near 72% (Los Angeles D 29%) on Game 1: Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $12.8M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Milwaukee near 72% returns about $139 if they win (before fees); Los Angeles D near 29% returns about $345.

Jacob Misiorowski is listed for Milwaukee; Tarik Skubal for Los Angeles D. On the season they sit 0-0 and 0-0. Over the last 5 games, Milwaukee went 4-1 and Los Angeles D went 4-1.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Tarik Skubal for Los Angeles D; Jacob Misiorowski for Milwaukee.
  2. Season record Los Angeles D 0-0; Milwaukee 0-0.
  3. Last five games Los Angeles D went 4-1 in their last 5; Milwaukee went 4-1.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.