Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Toronto vs Cleveland

Toronto vs Clevelandsettled — Sep 1, 2026, 9:00pm ETOpen on Kalshi
CLEVELAND100%
$3.3M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Cleveland near 99% (Toronto 2%) on Toronto vs Cleveland. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $3.3M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Cleveland near 99% returns about $101 if they win (before fees); Toronto near 2% returns about $5000.

Gavin Williams is listed for Cleveland; Spencer Miles for Toronto. On the season they sit 69-68 and 68-70. Over the last 5 games, Cleveland went 3-2 and Toronto went 4-1.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Spencer Miles for Toronto; Gavin Williams for Cleveland.
  2. Season record Toronto 68-70; Cleveland 69-68.
  3. Last five games Toronto went 4-1 in their last 5; Cleveland went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 1, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.