Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Toronto vs Cleveland

Toronto vs Clevelandsettled — Sep 2, 2026, 9:06pm ETOpen on Kalshi
TORONTO100%
$4.6M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Toronto near 100% (Cleveland 1%) on Toronto vs Cleveland. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $4.6M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Toronto near 100% returns about $100 if they win (before fees); Cleveland near 1% returns about $10000.

Dylan Cease is listed for Toronto; Joey Cantillo for Cleveland. On the season they sit 68-71 and 70-68. Over the last 5 games, Toronto went 3-2 and Cleveland went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Dylan Cease for Toronto; Joey Cantillo for Cleveland.
  2. Season record Toronto 68-71; Cleveland 70-68.
  3. Last five games Toronto went 3-2 in their last 5; Cleveland went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.