Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Toronto vs Cleveland

Toronto vs Clevelandsettled — Sep 3, 2026, 1:50pm ETOpen on Kalshi
TORONTO100%
$6.9M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Cleveland near 58% (Toronto 45%) on Toronto vs Cleveland. That is a solid edge, not a toss-up. About $2.9M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Cleveland near 58% returns about $172 if they win (before fees); Toronto near 45% returns about $222.

Tanner Bibee is listed for Cleveland; José Soriano for Toronto. On the season they sit 70-69 and 69-71. Over the last 5 games, Cleveland went 2-3 and Toronto went 4-1.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers José Soriano for Toronto; Tanner Bibee for Cleveland.
  2. Season record Toronto 69-71; Cleveland 70-69.
  3. Last five games Toronto went 4-1 in their last 5; Cleveland went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.