Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Boston vs Baltimore

Boston vs Baltimoresettled — Sep 3, 2026, 8:57pm ETOpen on Kalshi
BOSTON100%
$1.9M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Baltimore near 52% (Boston 49%) on Boston vs Baltimore. That is essentially a coin flip. About $1.9M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Baltimore near 52% returns about $192 if they win (before fees); Boston near 49% returns about $204.

Brandon Young is listed for Baltimore; Jake Bennett for Boston. On the season they sit 69-71 and 75-65. Over the last 5 games, Baltimore went 3-2 and Boston went 1-4.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Jake Bennett for Boston; Brandon Young for Baltimore.
  2. Season record Boston 75-65; Baltimore 69-71.
  3. Last five games Boston went 1-4 in their last 5; Baltimore went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.