Prediction market analysis

Squarefade

Be the wisdom, not the crowd

Sports · Baseball

Milwaukee vs Cincinnati

Milwaukee vs Cincinnatisettled — Sep 4, 2026, 8:55pm ETOpen on Kalshi
MILWAUKEE100%
$2.4M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Milwaukee near 92% (Cincinnati 8%) on Milwaukee vs Cincinnati. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $2.4M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Milwaukee near 92% returns about $109 if they win (before fees); Cincinnati near 8% returns about $1250.

Shane Drohan is listed for Milwaukee; Rhett Lowder for Cincinnati. On the season they sit 87-54 and 67-73. Over the last 5 games, Milwaukee went 2-3 and Cincinnati went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Shane Drohan for Milwaukee; Rhett Lowder for Cincinnati.
  2. Season record Milwaukee 87-54; Cincinnati 67-73.
  3. Last five games Milwaukee went 2-3 in their last 5; Cincinnati went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 6:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.